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Despite Ambitious Commitments, Copenhagen Does Little to Spur on American Policy – Corporate Investments Remain on Hold

by Andrea Thomas 29. January 2010 02:21

In the late evening on December 18th, 2009, all eyes were on Copenhagen waiting to see if the Conference of the Parties 15 (COP15) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) would produce a global climate treaty that would require the nations of the world to reduce their output of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The outcome of COP15 was expected to impact every aspect of society, and most prominently, the corporate world. At the end of a two week long negotiating session, Copenhagen produced a non-binding “agreement” void of any real emissions reduction targets or timetables to achieve them. The Copenhagen Accord was a decision made by the 193 nations participating in the Conference to “take note of” for further review in 2010. The Accord recognizes the following major action items:

  • There is a scientific case for keeping global temperature rise to no more than 2°C.
  • Developed Nations (Annex 1 Parties – the largest emitters) will determine economy-wide emissions reduction targets for 2020 by January 31, 2010. 
  • Developing nations (Non-Annex 1 Parties) will determine methods to implement mitigation actions by January 31, 2010. 
  • Developed nations will collectively generate USD $30 billion for the period 2010 through 2012 and USD $100 billion from 2012 to 2020 to assist developing nations in their climate change adaptation and mitigation activities.

Although legally-binding emissions reduction targets were not included in the Accord, most nations have proposed unofficial emissions reduction commitments which they claim they will implement through domestic policy. Most nations, like the United States and China, are steadfast in their position to achieve the following goals:

  • USA proposed to cut GHG emissions to 17% below 2005 levels by 2020, pending congressional approval (this is equivalent to 4% below 1990 levels).
  • China: Proposed to cut CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by 40-45% below 2005 levels by 2020.
  • European Union proposed to cut GHG emissions by 20% from 1990 levels by 2020, or 30% if other big emitters take tough action as well.
  • India proposed to cut CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by 20-25% from 2005 levels by 2020.

The current emissions targets on the table are expected to lead the world on a path toward a global temperature rise of 3°C. Stronger commitments are needed from the largest emitters, including the United States and China, to reach the goals set out in the Copenhagen Accord. As of January 29th, the United States appears to remain firm on its 17% target reduction in emissions by 2020 from 2005 levels. In a letter to U.N. Climate Officials, President Obama pledged to uphold our target emissions reduction goal set out at Copenhagen, and that more details were to follow pending Congress’ decision on the Climate Bill.

Despite this positive and ambitious first step, it is still uncertain as to when the “details” of the U.S. commitment will be worked out. As climate legislation sits idle in Congressional subcommittees, Corporate America waits with baited breath to follow through on Cleantech investments. In a recent press release, Alstom Power President Philippe Joubert said that “Uncertainty about the legal and regulatory framework around carbon dioxide emissions is holding back needed investments”. In a letter to President Obama, a group of 80 U.S. companies stated that “[Climate] legislation would spur a new energy economy and with it create 1.7 million new American jobs, many in struggling communities across the country” (Environmental Leader, 2010). In addition to the desire for a green light on Cleantech investment, corporations are pushing for Congressional movement on a more flexible and “business-friendly” Climate Bill for fear of being pinned under the strict and expensive regulatory thumb of the EPA.

No matter how the U.S. decides to regulate carbon dioxide emissions, the world will be holding us responsible for upholding the pledge President Obama made to the U.N. Climate Officials this week. U.N. Climate Chief Yvo de Boer said recently that "Whatever route is taken, the president of the United States committed to a 17 percent emissions reduction in Copenhagen. The president of the United States committed to more ambitious emissions reductions for 2030 and 2050. And it is those statements to which the international community will hold the government of the United States accountable” (Greenwire, 2010).

Without the support of congressional legislation, President Obama met the U.N.’s January 31st deadline by confirming to uphold the United States’ pledge at Copenhagen. The details surrounding the implementation of that emissions target and the accompanying timetable are yet to be determined. The waiting game for the creation of solid and defensible action to regulate carbon emissions at home and abroad continues…